The Week Ahead In The Stock Market
Some Thoughts, Possibilities and Probabilities!
Sunday, April 05, 2015
The week ahead in the stock market will see the focus shift from macro to micro, as investors and traders alike, will be hoping that the new upcoming earnings reports will be stronger than recent disappointing economic figures.
However, it still appears that the domestic fundamentals look strong, and the world’s largest economy is poised for above-trend growth in 2015, despite the shockingly weak job growth for March.
This will become apparent as many on Wall Street will likely look past what is yet another sign of first-quarter weakness if spring data shows signs of rebounding.
This market view will almost certainly cause the Fed to move more slowly than previously expected to raise interest rates, which means that September should be the earliest time frame for the Fed to act. March's report of just 126,000 payrolls was the worst since December 2013,
though the unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.5 percent.
This jobs report is a reflection of the weaker GDP growth that has been experienced over the last two quarters, but a reacceleration of growth is likely in the next quarter – one area that should benefit in the coming quarters is the effect of the energy decline. The weak jobs report is also suspected as a reflection of the role that winter weather played.
Monday is likely to create a rocky start to the week ahead in the stock market! However, this is likely to smooth out and the bull rally continue – similar to last year where the economic growth was negative in the first quarter of 2014 before the economy picked up and finished the year strong.
In other news affecting the week ahead in the stock market, besides the Fed minutes, there is also a first trickle of quarterly earnings reports, starting Wednesday with Alcoa. Markets will also be watching the drama around Greece's pending
payment to the IMF......
.......Check out what else is happening in the stock market for the week ahead.....
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